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Thursday, November 6, 2008

Impressive Work at 538.com




Over on my blog list under "Electoral Projections" is a link to a site called 538.com.

At approximately 1 p.m on Election Day I got a text message stating that the polling web site 538.com was calling the race for Obama, projecting a 6 percent win in the popular vote and 344 electoral votes.

At approximately 10 p.m. that night, Obama had 349 Electoral Votes and had a nationwide lead of--six percent in the popular vote. The numbers have changed a bit as more states finish counting, but man, that's an impressive call.

Throughout the course of the campaign, especially at the end, there was talk about inaccurate polling methods, the "Bradley effect" and any other conceivable way to discount the fact that Obama was polling well. I think the folks at 538.com prove pretty convincingly here how polls can work crazy accurate when done right.

Very Impressive Work.

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